11/03/2007

EVIDENCE AND TRUTH

I posted this over at Vox Day's site and decided it was worth repeating here, as well, because I find that much of the problems in discussing evolution have to do with the failure of my critics to understand the nature of science.   This is not a post about God's existence per se, just a discussion of why science can't say much about such claims. . . .


Evidence is not the truth, with a capital 'T', but simply observations reported by (we hope) competent observers.  The more rigorous the observation, the more times said observation is replicated, the more confidence we have in that observation and so we tend to refer to such-and-such an observation as 'true.'

Do people sincerely report religious experiences?   Indeed they appear to do so, so the fact that people report religious experiences is a phenomena that requires explanation, a phenomena that can be reasonably described as 'true.'

We reserve the right, however, to revise or reject such claims based on improved data, so these kinds of claims are never Truth with a capital 'T', the sort of eternal truths sought through philosophy or religion.

Because of this, scientists are not in the 'truth business.'  We are in the model-building and model-testing business.  When a model seems to do an especially good job of describing, explaining and predicting many phenomena we have the tendency to call such a model a 'theory', as opposed to a mere 'hypothesis.'  But we never claim that theories are Truths.

Now, the problem from this standpoint with claims such as the existence of God is not that they may or may not be true, or that the existence of God is an eternal Truth, etc.  The problem is that we can't ever move that hypothesis to the 'theory' stage because we can' test its ability to describe, explain or predict phenomena.  The God Hypothesis that fails a particular test can always be 'resurrected' by amending it with claims about God's intent, God's nature or the invocation of the supernatural.  It is not the possibility of the supernatural's  existence that scandalizes the naturalist, but the fact that within science we have no procedure to test the evidential basis of supernatural claims.

We therefore exclude them without attempting to rule one way or the other on the claim.  The best we can do is check out the testable consequences of such claims, whether or not the hypothesis produces the (natural) phenomena that is expected.


11/02/2007

OPPORTUNITIES TO DOUBT

I've got 'em (opportunities, that is) on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. For a 'faithhead', I've sure got a full Calendar of Questions on my immediate horizon.

SUNDAY, 5:00 PM: The Central Valley Alliance of Atheists and Skeptics (CVAAS) will hold its first meeting at its new time and place:

Fresno Center for Nonviolence
1584 N Van Ness (SE corner of McKinley and Van Ness)
Fresno , CA 93728

In its mission statement, CVASS aims at promoting
"secular viewpoints in support of the non-theists who live throughout the California Central Valley. We urge camaraderie among the secular community and their supporters, and encourage joining or forming affiliated non-theistic groups so that we may pool our resources together to further our mutual goals. We accept that rational scientific inquiry has proved to be the best way to understand the natural world in which we live; and that ethical questions are best answered when based upon sympathy and empathy for our fellow humans." Hopefully, having this 'herd of cats' gather on what is nominally a day of rest will facilitate a larger group of questioners to participate.

MONDAY, 6:30 PM: Central Valley Cafe Scientifique has its next gathering, and the Halloween-themed presentation by Dr. Kevin Miller on the use of DNA in identifying skeletal remains promises to be a hoot. . . . as well as a powerful stimulus for thinking critically. Yours Truly will be there with a clipboard, looking quasi-official.


TUESDAY, 7:30 PM: The Fresno chapter of Hugh Ross's organization 'Reasons To Believe', in concert with other Christian organizations, is sponsoring a talk by astronomer Jeff Zweerink that will seek to use evidence from cosmology to argue to the existence of the God of the Bible. Talk about a critical thinking opportunity! I'll be taking a group of students from my high school to this event.

Finally, on the subject of opportunities to doubt. . . . . believe it or not, there's church. Worship services are an excellent place to ask your self what you believe, and why---and it's not really worship if it's slavish and immune to real doubt. The paradox of real faith is that it must always feel free to question! I have to confess that I doubt all the time, and one of the things of which I am dubious is the degree to which how many of the 'faithful' are actually capable of real doubt, and how many are merely terrified at the prospect. But I want to assure those outside the pews that honest doubt really goes hand-in-hand with real faith---or at least that's my experience.

11/01/2007

JUST FOR KICKS



My son's on a new kick: rediscovering the joys of the original 007 flicks. I think he'll appreciate this, which I discovered courtesy of the delightful Mandi Kaye.